The theory of improbability.

Every literate person knows or has at least heard that there is such a branch of mathematics as “Probability Theory”.

The mathematician E.S. Wentzel even wrote a very good and well-known textbook for universities under the same name.

She is also a talented writer, I.Grekova.

On August 25, 2024, I went to the Key-Food supermarket. I bought food and other things there.

Account: 22 dollars 4 cents!

I went there again this morning and bought completely different things, nothing. unrelated to the previous ones.

Account: 22 dollars 4 cents!

What is the probability of such a match IN a ROW?

Of the huge number of bills that I have paid in my life, there was no such coincidence, and even two times in a row FOR DIFFERENT purchases, so that suddenly the amount matched up to cents!

Was it telekinesis that had awakened in me?

Or a new science has appeared, invented by Stanislaw Lem:

THE THEORY OF IMPROBABILITY?

27 VIII 2024

P.S. According to calculations kindly made by Mr. Vyacheslav Vasilyevich Ivanov (SamLib site) the Probability of such event is one divided by sixteen millions

Review of The Theory of Improbability (Esprit De L’Escalier

SELF-REVIEW. Below is the author’s kind comment on the SamLib portal:

1. Vyacheslav V. Ivanov 2024/08/28 13:53 [reply]   Yes, it’s an interesting coincidence, but everything is within the limits of probability theory, which studies the patterns of mass homogeneous events. The constant and frequent purchase of products in a particular store is just suitable to quantify such an event.    It is possible to estimate the probability of such an event very roughly.    If frequent purchases are mainly in the range of 10-50 dollars, then the probability of receiving a check of 22 dollars is equal to: P1 = 1/40, and the probability of receiving another 4 cents in the check by 22 is equal to: P2 = 1/100. The probability of receiving a check of $ 22 and 4 cents will be equal to the product of these two probabilities: P3 = 1/(40*100), and the probability of receiving such a check twice in a row: P4 = 1/(P3*P3).    Indeed, this is a very low probability. It looks like you’ve developed telekinesis. 2. 3. 2. Esprit De L’Escalier (psitimespsi@yandex.com , psitimespsi@rambler.ru ) 2024/08/28 15:17

[reply]   Dear Vyacheslav Vasilyevich Ivanov,   My sincere gratitude to you both for your attention to my writings and for the work on calculating the probability-improbability of such an event.   (Probability-Improbability).   Moreover, I am forever dumb to mathematics!   Could you put all the probabilities into words? There are degrees involved, as far as I could understand.   As for telekinesis, being quite an ordinary person, I mentioned it only as self-irony!   Again, with appreciation for your interesting and useful comment 4. According to my calculations – one sixteen millionth! Esprit De L’Escalier 08/28/2024 15:34

+ add comments

43. Vyacheslav V. Ivanov 2024/08/28 16:16 [reply]   Dear Esprit De L’Escalier, I often read your interesting notes on physics.    I have removed the last paragraph so that it does not obscure the essence.    Here is a simple calculation using the probability multiplication theorem. There are no degrees, the asterisk is a multiplication sign. The probability of getting a check for $22 and 4 cents is:   P = 1/4000, which is a very small value. And the probability of such an event occurring almost 2 times in a row is much less.    In other words, you have been visited by a unique event. Maybe this is a sign of something, although I immediately understood your self-irony, but telekinesis is not excluded.      Sincerely, Ivanov V.V.      

Dear Vyacheslav Vasilyevich Ivanov,   Again, thanks for another comment.   Additional sincere thanks for the attention to my often “fancy ideas”!   I got one sixteen millionth (squaring two P3 probabilities).   I believe in spontaneous telepathy and am confident in its existence.   As for telekinesis, I don’t allow it at all.   There may be another phenomenon: PROVIDENCE, which is the interaction of two factors: Temporal Waves and Superconsciousness.   That is, self-action on oneself.   The Temporal Waves returned to my Superconscious and it IMPLICITLY, but very firmly, ordered me to pick up such items so that the sum turned out to be the same monetary value. This MAY BE because I first selected one item, then changed my mind and put it back, but after thinking again, I TOOK IT anyway! Of course, I didn’t realize then that my Superconsciousness was guiding me.   But why it decided to play with me in this way, I don’t know.   A HINT?   FOR WHAT?   This, in my opinion, is the most rational explanation for such an unlikely event.   Yours with appreciation Esprit




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